Terrorism Risk Assessment, Recollection Bias, and Public Support for Counterterrorism Policy and Spending
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism Risk Assessments.
Recollection bias is the phenomenon whereby people who observe a highly unexpected event hold current risk beliefs about a similar event that are no higher than their recollection of their prior beliefs. This article replicates and extends the authors' previous study of recollection bias in relation to individuals' perceptions of the risks of terrorism attacks. Over 60% of respondents in a nati...
متن کاملTerrorism , Trade and Public Policy
Are bigger markets safer? How should government policy respond to terrorist threats? Trade draws potential terrorists and economic predators into productive activity, but trade also draws terrorist attacks. Larger trade reduces the risk of terrorist attack when the wage elasticity is high, associated with low ratios of predators to prey and high wages; but it may increase the risk of terrorist ...
متن کاملdiagnostic and developmental potentials of dynamic assessment for writing skill
این پایان نامه بدنبال بررسی کاربرد ارزیابی مستمر در یک محیط یادگیری زبان دوم از طریق طرح چهار سوال تحقیق زیر بود: (1) درک توانایی های فراگیران زمانیکه که از طریق برآورد عملکرد مستقل آنها امکان پذیر نباشد اما در طول جلسات ارزیابی مستمر مشخص شوند; (2) امکان تقویت توانایی های فراگیران از طریق ارزیابی مستمر; (3) سودمندی ارزیابی مستمر در هدایت آموزش فردی به سمتی که به منطقه ی تقریبی رشد افراد حساس ا...
15 صفحه اولThe Impact of Societal Risk Attitudes on Terrorism and Counterterrorism
We analyze decisions made by a group of terrorists and a target government in a zero-sum game in which the terrorists minimize, and the government maximizes, the expected utility of the median voter in the target country. The terrorists’ strategy balances the probability and the severity of the attack while the government chooses the level of investment reducing the probability and/or mitigatin...
متن کاملRisk assessment as rhetorical practice: The ironic mathematics behind terrorism, banking, and public policy.
The twin problems of possible terrorist attacks and a global economic recession have been, and continue to be, critical components of contemporary political culture. At the center of both problems is the assessment of future risk. To calculate the probability that a loan will default or to estimate the likelihood of an act of bioterrorism crippling an American city is to engage in the quantitat...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Risk Analysis
سال: 2018
ISSN: 0272-4332,1539-6924
DOI: 10.1111/risa.13203